Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1171

   Mesoscale Discussion 1171
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0218 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025

   Areas affected...Northern Oklahoma

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 381...382...

   Valid 070718Z - 070845Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 381, 382 continues.

   SUMMARY...A swath of 75 to 90 mph wind gusts will likely continue
   for at least another 1 to 2 hours.

   DISCUSSION...Despite a lack of measured wind gusts in excess of 75
   mph, evidence strongly supports an ongoing swath of significant
   severe wind gusts within a bowing segment moving across northern
   Oklahoma. 80+ knot wind gusts were sampled 100 feet AGL from the
   KVNX VWP and similar wind values have persisted since. The overall
   region of the stronger winds appears slightly more broad and less
   intense than earlier, but is a signature that likely represents 75+
   mph wind gusts. The environment downstream of this bow remains
   favorable for maintenance with MUCAPE in excess of 2000 J/kg and a
   persistent moderate low-level jet along this baroclinic zone. In
   addition, strong low-level shear (>200 m2/s2 0-1km SRH from KINX
   VWP) will support some QLCS tornado threat along the leading edge of
   this squall line. 

   Therefore, expect this swath of 75+ mph wind gusts to persist for at
   least another 1 to 2 hours.

   ..Bentley.. 06/07/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

   LAT...LON   36969779 36839679 36549591 36319579 36209657 36459768
               36589796 36969779 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN