Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1169

   Mesoscale Discussion 1169
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0127 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025

   Areas affected...the eastern Texas Panhandle and much of Oklahoma

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 380...382...

   Valid 070627Z - 070800Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 380, 382 continues.

   SUMMARY...A threat for large hail and severe wind gusts continues
   this morning. Some tornado threat also exists.

   DISCUSSION...Storms across central Oklahoma have mostly weakened
   over the past hour with focus primarily shifting to the
   strengthening squall line across northwest Oklahoma and into the
   Texas Panhandle. Storms within this line have remained somewhat
   supercellular thus far, likely due to the strong shear present
   across the region. A more linear segment exists across northern
   Oklahoma and southern Kansas which emanated from collapsing
   supercells earlier. Even within this linear segment, a focused zone
   of significant wind threat persists near a collapsing supercell
   within this line. Expect a similar threat farther southwest along
   this line where a few strong supercells are present. In fact,
   reflectivity from the KAMA WSR-88D suggest a similar transformation
   may be  ongoing across Roberts and Hemphill counties. This region
   will be monitored for a potential secondary zone of a significant
   wind swath. 

   Strong low-level shear and strong instability ahead of this line of
   storms will support some tornado threat through the overnight
   period. Especially where orientation within the line becomes more
   normal to the low-level shear vector.

   ..Bentley.. 06/07/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...AMA...

   LAT...LON   36989883 37009767 36989685 36889608 36409563 35479557
               34669580 34539621 34659739 34719842 34829978 35170067
               35500142 35810157 36150155 36989883 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN