June 7, 2025

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1168

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Mesoscale Discussion 1168
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1168
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   1247 AM CDT Sat Jun 07 2025

   Areas affected...far northern Oklahoma and far southern Kansas

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 381...

   Valid 070547Z - 070715Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 381 continues.

   SUMMARY...75+ mph wind gusts are possible over the next 1 to 2 hours
   across far southern Kansas and far northern Oklahoma.

   DISCUSSION...A MCS with an embedded supercell is moving along the
   Kansas Oklahoma border in far northern Woods County. The VNX WSR-88D
   is sampling 90 to 95 knot inbound velocities moving across Woods
   county at around 4000 feet. While surface winds are likely not that
   strong, it is likely that 75+ mph winds are reaching the surface
   across this region. As this cluster continues east-southeast along a
   convergent frontal zone across northern Oklahoma where near 70F
   dewpoints are present, expect it to maintain intensity for at least
   the next 1 to 2 hours.

   ..Bentley/Hart.. 06/07/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TSA...ICT...OUN...DDC...

   LAT...LON   37329940 37289861 37149775 37059660 36799658 36539692
               36469740 36559873 36679946 36889968 37329940 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...75-90 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


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2025-06-07 06:17:03