Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1104

   Mesoscale Discussion 1104
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0854 PM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025

   Areas affected...Southeast Oklahoma into far northeast Texas and far
   southwest Arkansas

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 363...

   Valid 040154Z - 040400Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 363 continues.

   SUMMARY...A cluster of strong to severe storms may persist for
   another few hours, but a gradual weakening trend is expected with
   time. Additional watches are not anticipated at this time.

   DISCUSSION...A cluster of strong to severe storms, including a
   supercell which has recently transitioned into a broader mesovortex,
   should continue southeastward along and just north of the Red River.
   Given the strength of the mesovortex circulation, it is probable
   that this activity will continue despite decreasing buoyancy and
   increase MLCIN downstream. Damaging winds and a tornado or two will
   be possible in the short term. Longer term trends in the environment
   are expected to lead to a weakening trend, however. Given this
   expectation, no additional watches are currently anticipated this
   evening.

   ..Wendt.. 06/04/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LZK...SHV...TSA...FWD...OUN...

   LAT...LON   34029708 34199699 34689621 34549479 34299431 33879409
               33619422 33499468 33609537 34029708 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH