SPC MD 1102

MD 1102 CONCERNING SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 362… FOR PARTS OF NORTHWEST/NORTH TEXAS

Mesoscale Discussion 1102
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
0732 PM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025

Areas affected...Parts of Northwest/North Texas

Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 362...

Valid 040032Z - 040230Z

The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 362
continues.

SUMMARY...Severe winds, large hail, and perhaps a tornado or two
will remain possible this evening.

DISCUSSION...Severe activity is likely to increase over the next few
hours as the cold front pushes farther southeast and interacts with
an unstable airmass. The strongest activity in WW 362 is in Clay
County and moving southeastward. The observed 00Z DFW sounding
showed modest mid-level lapse rates but a long hodograph with
sufficient low-level shear for some concern for low-level rotation.
With the very moist airmass in place (upper 60s to low 70s F
dewpoints), storms should be able to maintain some intensity into
the evening. Severe winds and isolated large hail will be the main
concerns. As noted, low-level shear from the DFW sounding and KFWS
VAD do suggest some potential for a tornado or two. Current
estimates indicate storms may reach the DFW metro around 10 PM CDT.
With the cold front moving into the region, some acceleration is
possible. Convective trends will need to be monitored for possible
watch extension or an additional watch later this evening.

..Wendt.. 06/04/2025

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...

LAT...LON   32229790 32029905 32169948 32389942 32689917 33879831
            33959779 33639707 33109686 32729720 32229790 

MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN

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2025-06-04 01:38:03