June 5, 2025

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1094

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Mesoscale Discussion 1094
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1094
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0344 PM CDT Tue Jun 03 2025

   Areas affected...North-central Missouri

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 359...

   Valid 032044Z - 032145Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 359 continues.

   SUMMARY...The greatest short-term threat for severe wind gusts,
   large hail, and a tornado or two will exist in north-central
   Missouri in WW 359.

   DISCUSSION...A mature QLCS recently impacted the Kansas City metro
   and vicinity and is continuing eastward through WW 359. A
   consolidated bow echo is present at the northern extent of the line
   (currently approaching Linn County), with a more outflow-dominated
   signature present with southward extent. Both areas should continue
   to pose a threat for severe wind gusts over the next couple of
   hours. Periods of stronger low-level rotation were observed
   recently, and some re-intensification is possible given locally
   stronger low-level shear. Some semi-discrete cells have also formed
   in a convergent zone ahead of the QLCS, which will pose a locally
   greater threat for large hail in the short term.

   ..Flournoy/Smith.. 06/03/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...

   LAT...LON   39539225 38969256 38609306 38499344 38649372 38939384
               39649386 40149359 40339312 40349246 40099214 39539225 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


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2025-06-03 21:32:03