June 4, 2025

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1079

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Mesoscale Discussion 1079
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1079
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0400 PM CDT Mon Jun 02 2025

   Areas affected...Portions of central Minnesota

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 354...

   Valid 022100Z - 022300Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 354
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Wind and hail threat continues across portions of WW 354.

   DISCUSSION...A complex of strong to severe thunderstorms is ongoing
   in central Minnesota in WW 354. These storms formed on the northern
   periphery of an instability axis stretching from west-central
   Minnesota southwestward through southwest Nebraska. Greater
   inhibition on the northern extent of the complex should limit the
   severe threat there, while continued boundary-layer heating to the
   east and southeast of the system should support a continued severe
   threat there. In this region, the combination of deep boundary-layer
   mixing and strong lift along the leading edge of the cold pool
   (inferred from storm-scale temperature deficits around 10-15 F)
   should support continued convective development and a wind/hail
   threat across the watch area for the next couple of hours.

   ..Flournoy/Smith.. 06/02/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...

   LAT...LON   46449430 46679383 46609332 46259309 45549329 45029382
               44879451 44899519 45049515 45369457 45789430 46449430 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


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2025-06-02 21:16:04