Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1078

   Mesoscale Discussion 1078
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0348 PM CDT Mon Jun 02 2025

   Areas affected...the Texas Panhandle

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 353...

   Valid 022048Z - 022215Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 353
   continues.

   SUMMARY...An increase in convective intensity is expected over the
   next 1 to 2 hours.

   DISCUSSION...A well-developed outflow boundary has developed and is
   emanating from storms across the western Texas Panhandle. This
   outflow has mostly outrun the storms thus far. However, it is
   quickly moving toward more favorable instability across the central
   and eastern Panhandle. In fact, a boundary is apparent on the AMA
   0.5 degree base reflectivity east of the radar which likely
   represents the edge of the low 70s dewpoints across the eastern
   Panhandle. 

   As these boundaries collide, expect strong updrafts which should
   strengthen the cold pool and severe wind gusts within the line. The
   greatest threat for isolated 80-90 mph wind gusts this
   afternoon/evening likely exists from this boundary collision
   northeastward. This region has the most favorable diurnal timing and
   the expectation for storm intensification as this line moves towards
   the greater instability.

   ..Bentley/Smith.. 06/02/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...

   LAT...LON   34290154 34710214 35040241 35870265 36280255 36490205
               36510141 36490082 36460009 35610001 34590010 34310023
               34270075 34290154 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...85-100 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN