June 4, 2025

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1070

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Mesoscale Discussion 1070
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1070
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0957 PM CDT Sun Jun 01 2025

   Areas affected...North-central into east-central TX

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 352...

   Valid 020257Z - 020430Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 352
   continues.

   SUMMARY...At least an isolated severe threat may continue through
   Midnight CDT.

   DISCUSSION...Increasing CINH has resulted in a decrease in storm
   coverage across parts of north-central into east-central TX, though
   one ongoing supercell is moving southward east of Waco. Moderate
   buoyancy and favorable deep-layer shear will continue to support a 
   threat of large hail and locally gusty winds with this cell for as
   long as it can persist. 

   Farther north, earlier hail-producing storms near the Metroplex have
   weakened, though some redevelopment continues to the cool side of a
   westward-moving outflow across north-central TX. While the
   northernmost convection is somewhat elevated, moderate buoyancy
   could still support a localized hail threat with redeveloping storms
   through late evening, before convection generally subsides
   overnight. 

   Parts of WW 352 have been extended in time to Midnight CDT in order
   to cover the lingering severe threat across the region.

   ..Dean.. 06/02/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SHV...HGX...FWD...

   LAT...LON   32969846 33049767 32969650 32049571 31439504 31189482
               30969472 30799472 30539474 30189533 29969624 30239653
               30989709 31509755 32039806 32329841 32479865 32789873
               32969846 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


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2025-06-02 02:59:04