June 4, 2025

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1068

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Mesoscale Discussion 1068
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1068
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0739 PM CDT Sun Jun 01 2025

   Areas affected...North-central TX

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 352...

   Valid 020039Z - 020215Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 352
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A damaging hail/wind threat will continue this evening.

   DISCUSSION...A left-moving supercell has recently developed and
   produced 2+ inch hail on the south side of Fort Worth. This cell may
   continue propagating eastward along a surging outflow into the
   eastern part of the Metroplex. Large to very large hail and severe
   outflow gusts will continue to be a short-term threat with this
   cell.  

   Additional cells continue to develop south and west of the
   Metroplex. Hodographs will continue to support splitting cells,
   though right-moving cells have struggled to persist within an
   environment with increasing MLCINH. It remains possible that a
   right-moving cell or two could persist and propagate southward, with
   a threat for hail, localized severe gusts, and possibly a tornado. 

   Left-moving cells may continue to thrive in the short term. Another
   apparent left-moving supercell has developed west of the Metroplex,
   and there is some potential for this cell to continue eastward atop
   the expanding outflow, with a damaging hail/wind threat. With a
   continued severe threat near the north edge of the watch and
   potentially to the east of the watch, local watch expansion is being
   considered.

   ..Dean/Hart.. 06/02/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FWD...

   LAT...LON   32069562 31729580 31229669 31279744 31779801 32579863
               32979814 33029673 32829582 32499562 32379557 32069562 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


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2025-06-02 01:15:03