June 2, 2025

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1048

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Mesoscale Discussion 1048
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1048
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0404 PM CDT Fri May 30 2025

   Areas affected...Parts of eastern South Carolina

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 347...

   Valid 302104Z - 302230Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 347
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A swath of damaging wind gusts (60-70 mph) is possible as
   storms continue tracking eastward across central/eastern South
   Carolina -- within Severe Thunderstorm Watches 347 and 349.

   DISCUSSION...A cluster of severe thunderstorms, including an
   embedded supercell structure, is tracking eastward at around 40 kt
   across central into eastern SC. The CAE VWP shows around 40 kt of
   unidirectional 0-6 km shear oriented perpendicular to this storm
   cluster. This favorable orientation, combined with warm/moist
   pre-convective inflow, should support the maintenance of these
   storms with eastward extent. The primary concern is the potential
   for a swath of damaging winds (60-70 mph), with locally higher
   possible.

   ..Weinman.. 05/30/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...ILM...CHS...CAE...

   LAT...LON   33518111 34048011 34097969 33937913 33647883 33097926
               32847979 32868041 33018086 33278107 33518111 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...UP TO 1.25 IN


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2025-05-30 22:01:04