June 2, 2025

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1032

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Mesoscale Discussion 1032
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   Mesoscale Discussion 1032
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0748 PM CDT Wed May 28 2025

   Areas affected...southeast CO...southwest KS...northwest OK
   Panhandle

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 342...

   Valid 290048Z - 290215Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 342 continues.

   SUMMARY...Sporadic severe hail and strong to localized severe gusts
   should persist for a couple more hours as the final round of
   thunderstorms congeals to the southeast.

   DISCUSSION...Despite numerous storms and cold IR cloud tops, the
   final round of thunderstorms across southeast CO and southwest KS is
   largely progressing across previously overturned air from
   outflow-dominated clusters now in the eastern OK and northern TX
   Panhandles. Thus, much of this activity is likely rooted by elevated
   parcels, as sampled by the 00Z DDC sounding. Sporadic severe hail
   will probably remain the primary threat, with magnitudes limited by
   further upscale growth. The convective wind threat should generally
   remain more strong than severe, with lingering support provided by
   low to mid 70s surface temperatures between the two convective
   regimes in southeast CO to extreme southwest KS.

   ..Grams.. 05/29/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...DDC...AMA...PUB...ABQ...

   LAT...LON   37980059 37540028 37190058 36950151 36830271 36980329
               37490379 37810367 37940290 37950226 37960194 37980059 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


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2025-05-29 01:00:04