June 8, 2025

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 999

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Mesoscale Discussion 999
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0999
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0748 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025

   Areas affected...TX Panhandle and western OK

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 333...

   Valid 270048Z - 270215Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 333
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe threat should persist across the Texas Panhandle
   over the next few hours with large hail, severe gusts, and a tornado
   possible. Some threat, mainly for isolated severe hail and strong
   gusts, should also spread into western Oklahoma.

   DISCUSSION...Multiple supercells that formed along a
   southwest/northeast-oriented surface trough over the eastern TX
   Panhandle have largely consolidated into the southeast portion of
   the Panhandle. Large hail and a brief tornado will remain the
   primary near-term threats with this activity. A loosely organized
   cluster will cross the NM/TX border area soon. This has produced a
   measured wind gust to 53 kts at TCC and will largely remain the
   primary wind threat as it likely spreads across the southern TX
   Panhandle. It may eventually congeal with the slow-moving cells over
   the southeast TX Panhandle. The severe threat into western OK should
   remain lower-end, but could persist for several hours with a primary
   threat of isolated hail. Cooler-than-normal boundary-layer
   temperatures will likely remain a mitigating factor to greater
   severe wind potential through the rest of the evening.

   ..Grams.. 05/27/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...

   LAT...LON   35940000 36339970 36329898 35809849 35479854 35039859
               34559937 34420005 34320096 34270275 35150273 35410101
               35940000 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN


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2025-05-27 01:08:03