Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 1001

   Mesoscale Discussion 1001
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0943 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025

   Areas affected...TX South Plains

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 333...

   Valid 270243Z - 270345Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 333
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A localized severe threat should persist across a portion
   of the Texas South Plains before weakening by Midnight CDT. An
   additional watch is not expected.

   DISCUSSION...A pair of supercells persist in/near the southwest
   corner of WW 333 along the NM/TX border. The lack of low-level jet
   response ahead of this activity, with only weak easterlies, and
   increasing MLCIN with southeast extent, per modified 00Z MAF
   sounding, suggest that storms should diminish towards midnight.
   Still, given the longer-lived organization will support a brief
   tornado and large hail threat until the updrafts subside.

   ..Grams/Mosier.. 05/27/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LUB...MAF...

   LAT...LON   33380268 33240231 33040186 32820171 32590177 32500200
               32490244 32680279 32960296 33380268 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN