Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 995

   Mesoscale Discussion 0995
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0400 PM CDT Mon May 26 2025

   Areas affected...portions of central Texas

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 331...

   Valid 262100Z - 262200Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 331 continues.

   SUMMARY...The risk for all hazards continues. Giant hail (3-4 inch)
   will be possible with the strongest supercells along with tornadoes.

   DISCUSSION...Across Tornado Watch #331, several supercells have
   developed and matured near the modified outflow. Additional storms
   were developing east of the dryine across the Big Bend Region. The
   overall environment remains very favorable for intense supercells
   with extreme buoyancy (4500 J/kg of MLCAPE) and 50+ kt of effective
   shear. As storms continue to persist near the boundary, giant hail
   (3-4 inches), damaging outflow gusts and a couple tornadoes remain
   possible. This appears especially likely with the large supercell
   currently in Concho and Menard counties. The general severe threat
   should continue to increase over much of the watch area through this
   afternoon and into the evening hours.

   ..Lyons.. 05/26/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FWD...EWX...SJT...MAF...

   LAT...LON   29660073 30200117 31600168 32060141 32120037 31729883
               30629798 28969787 28789839 28820041 29660073 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.75-4.25 IN