Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 964

   Mesoscale Discussion 0964
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0146 AM CDT Sun May 25 2025

   Areas affected...northeast OK

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 321...

   Valid 250646Z - 250815Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 321
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Damaging wind potential may be increasing across northeast
   Oklahoma over the next couple of hours.

   DISCUSSION...A cluster of elevated supercells across north-central
   OK may consolidate into a southeastward-propagating MCS over the
   next couple of hours. These storms are developing within a warm
   advection regime to the cool side of a quasi-stationary surface
   boundary and on the fringe of a 30-40 kt low-level jet oriented
   across northwest TX into OK. West to northwesterly 0-6 km bulk shear
   around 40-50 kt will aid in continued updraft organization as this
   cluster tracks east/southeast along the MUCAPE gradient over
   northeast OK. If this activity can consolidate and generate enough
   of a cold pool, severe/damaging wind potential will increase over
   the next couple of hours.

   ..Leitman.. 05/25/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...TSA...OUN...

   LAT...LON   36089682 36449727 36759733 36919714 36949654 36739495
               36539466 36029455 35769464 35689521 35889616 36089682 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN