Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 961

   Mesoscale Discussion 0961
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0915 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

   Areas affected...north-central and northeastern
   Oklahoma...southeastern Kansas

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch likely 

   Valid 250215Z - 250345Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...80 percent

   SUMMARY...Storms to pose a threat for large to very large hail
   through the evening and overnight.

   DISCUSSION...A boundary currently focused across central/western
   Oklahoma is expected to be the focus of thunderstorm development
   over the next couple of hours. As storms develop and move east and
   north of the boundary, they will remain elevated but pose a risk for
   large to very large hail, given steep lapse rates and MUCAPE above
   700 mb. A Severe Thunderstorm Watch will likely be needed to cover
   this potential in the next couple of hours.

   ..Thornton/Mosier.. 05/25/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...ICT...OUN...DDC...

   LAT...LON   35529592 36009665 36099767 36279872 36459912 36769913
               37029833 37319793 37479669 37469630 37509573 37529503
               37489486 37199470 36649467 36339464 36049466 35499496
               35529592 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN