June 8, 2025

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 955

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Mesoscale Discussion 955
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0955
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0331 PM CDT Sat May 24 2025

   Areas affected...central MS and far northeast LA

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 317...

   Valid 242031Z - 242200Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 317
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A squall line will continue eastward with a risk for
   damaging gusts and isolated hail this afternoon/evening.

   DISCUSSION...Across WW317, gradual intensification of the prior line
   of storms has been noted this afternoon. The environment remains
   favorable for a continued severe risk with moderate to large
   buoyancy and 30-40 kt of effective shear. This suggests the severe
   threat will continue eastward with a primary risk for damaging
   gusts. This is well corroborated by recent reports of damaging gusts
   across MS and LA. Some isolated hail may also be possible,
   especially with storms developing ahead of the line along the
   baroclinic zone. Given the broadly favorable environment and
   organized line, the severe risk will continue across much of WW317
   into this evening.

   ..Lyons.. 05/24/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...MEG...JAN...SHV...

   LAT...LON   32269211 32869098 33928994 33808847 32728832 31888849
               31829078 31909142 32269211 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN


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