Storm Prediction Center Severe Thunderstorm Watch 312
4 min read
2 weeks ago
Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 312
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
305 PM CDT Thu May 22 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwest and South-Central Oklahoma
Western and North Texas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 305 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 3 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Severe storms including supercells are expected to
steadily develop through late afternoon, including across western
north Texas and southwest Oklahoma near a boundary from prior
storms, and also across the Texas South Plains. Storms may
eventually merge/cluster across parts of the Low Rolling Plains and
western North Texas. Potentially very large hail and severe-caliber
wind gusts are the primary hazards.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles north and south of a line from 65 miles east of
Wichita Falls TX to 55 miles north of Big Spring TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 311...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
29025.
...Guyer
SEL2
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 312
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
305 PM CDT Thu May 22 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southwest and South-Central Oklahoma
Western and North Texas
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 305 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 3 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Severe storms including supercells are expected to
steadily develop through late afternoon, including across western
north Texas and southwest Oklahoma near a boundary from prior
storms, and also across the Texas South Plains. Storms may
eventually merge/cluster across parts of the Low Rolling Plains and
western North Texas. Potentially very large hail and severe-caliber
wind gusts are the primary hazards.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 80
statute miles north and south of a line from 65 miles east of
Wichita Falls TX to 55 miles north of Big Spring TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU2).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 311...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
29025.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW2
WW 312 SEVERE TSTM OK TX 222005Z - 230300Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
65E SPS/WICHITA FALLS TX/ - 55N BGS/BIG SPRING TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM N/S /18SSW ADM - 46SSE LBB/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 29025.
LAT...LON 32819737 31860150 34160150 35129737
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU2.
Watch 312 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Low (10%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (50%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Low (20%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Mod (60%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Mod (50%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (90%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
