Storm Prediction Center Severe Thunderstorm Watch 306
4 min read
3 weeks ago
Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 306
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
310 PM CDT Tue May 20 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
South Central Arkansas
Northern Louisiana
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 310 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to intensify along a cold
front and track across northern Louisiana through the early evening.
Large hail, damaging winds, and perhaps a tornado or two are
possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles south southwest
of Natchitoches LA to 60 miles north northeast of Monroe LA. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 302...WW 303...WW
304...WW 305...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27030.
...Hart
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 306
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
310 PM CDT Tue May 20 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
South Central Arkansas
Northern Louisiana
* Effective this Tuesday afternoon and evening from 310 PM until
900 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will continue to intensify along a cold
front and track across northern Louisiana through the early evening.
Large hail, damaging winds, and perhaps a tornado or two are
possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles east and west of a line from 35 miles south southwest
of Natchitoches LA to 60 miles north northeast of Monroe LA. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 302...WW 303...WW
304...WW 305...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 306 SEVERE TSTM AR LA 202010Z - 210200Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35SSW IER/NATCHITOCHES LA/ - 60NNE MLU/MONROE LA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM E/W /42W AEX - 52NNE MLU/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
LAT...LON 31279434 33329267 33329059 31279231
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 306 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 306
VALID 202210Z - 202340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 S SHV TO
30 N IER TO 15 SSW LLQ.
..SQUITIERI..05/20/25
ATTN...WFO...SHV...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 306
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
LAC013-021-025-029-035-041-043-049-059-061-065-067-069-073-081-
083-085-107-111-123-127-202340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
BIENVILLE CALDWELL CATAHOULA
CONCORDIA EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN
GRANT JACKSON LA SALLE
LINCOLN MADISON MOREHOUSE
NATCHITOCHES OUACHITA RED RIVER
RICHLAND SABINE TENSAS
UNION WEST CARROLL WINN
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Low (5%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (40%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Low (20%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Mod (50%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Mod (30%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (80%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
