Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended.
Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 265
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
300 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and Southern Illinois
Central and Southern Indiana
Western and Central Kentucky
Far Southeast Missouri
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 300 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely
Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to
2.5 inches in diameter likely
Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
SUMMARY...Supercells ongoing across eastern MO and western IL are
expected to continue eastward into the destabilizing airmass
downstream across the region. All severe hazards, including very
large hail up to 2.5" to 3" in diameter and strong to intense
tornadoes, are possible.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 95 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles north northwest of
Indianapolis IN to 40 miles south of Paducah KY. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 261...WW 262...WW
263...WW 264...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.
...Mosier
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 265
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
300 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Central and Southern Illinois
Central and Southern Indiana
Western and Central Kentucky
Far Southeast Missouri
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 300 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Several tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely
Widespread large hail and scattered very large hail events to
2.5 inches in diameter likely
Widespread damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 80
mph likely
SUMMARY...Supercells ongoing across eastern MO and western IL are
expected to continue eastward into the destabilizing airmass
downstream across the region. All severe hazards, including very
large hail up to 2.5" to 3" in diameter and strong to intense
tornadoes, are possible.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 95 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles north northwest of
Indianapolis IN to 40 miles south of Paducah KY. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 261...WW 262...WW
263...WW 264...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 70 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24040.
...Mosier
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5 WW 265 TORNADO IL IN KY MO 162000Z - 170300Z AXIS..95 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE.. 35NNW IND/INDIANAPOLIS IN/ - 40S PAH/PADUCAH KY/ ..AVIATION COORDS.. 85NM E/W /24NNW IND - 39NE DYR/ HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..70 KNOTS. MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040. LAT...LON 40168473 36488706 36489048 40168833 THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS FOR WOU5.
Watch 265 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #7 ON WW 265 VALID 170235Z - 170340Z SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 SSE POF TO 45 NNE BWG. ..BROYLES..05/17/25 ATTN...WFO...PAH...ILX...IND...LMK... && STATUS REPORT FOR WT 265 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC019-043-077-143-170340- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE CLARK FLOYD JEFFERSON SCOTT $$ KYC029-031-035-047-061-075-083-085-093-105-111-141-143-157-163- 177-185-213-219-221-223-227-170340- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BULLITT BUTLER CALLOWAY CHRISTIAN EDMONSON FULTON GRAVES GRAYSON HARDIN HICKMAN JEFFERSON LOGAN LYON MARSHALL MEADE MUHLENBERG OLDHAM SIMPSON TODD TRIGG TRIMBLE WARREN $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$ STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 265 VALID 170130Z - 170240Z SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 15 SSW POF TO 10 ENE PAH TO 15 ESE EVV TO 25 SSE BMG TO 35 W MIE. ..BROYLES..05/17/25 ATTN...WFO...PAH...ILX...IND...LMK... && STATUS REPORT FOR WT 265 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS INC005-013-019-025-031-035-043-057-059-061-065-071-077-079-081- 095-097-117-123-135-139-143-145-147-175-170240- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTHOLOMEW BROWN CLARK CRAWFORD DECATUR DELAWARE FLOYD HAMILTON HANCOCK HARRISON HENRY JACKSON JEFFERSON JENNINGS JOHNSON MADISON MARION ORANGE PERRY RANDOLPH RUSH SCOTT SHELBY SPENCER WASHINGTON $$ KYC027-029-031-033-035-039-047-055-059-061-075-083-085-091-093- 105-107-111-139-141-143-145-149-157-163-177-183-185-213-219-221- 223-227-233-170240- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BRECKINRIDGE BULLITT BUTLER CALDWELL CALLOWAY CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN DAVIESS EDMONSON FULTON GRAVES GRAYSON HANCOCK HARDIN HICKMAN HOPKINS JEFFERSON LIVINGSTON LOGAN LYON MCCRACKEN MCLEAN MARSHALL MEADE MUHLENBERG OHIO OLDHAM SIMPSON TODD TRIGG TRIMBLE WARREN WEBSTER $$ MOC133-143-170240- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$ STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 265 VALID 170030Z - 170140Z SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 N MDH TO 25 NNW EVV TO 35 S LAF TO 20 ESE LAF. ..THORNTON..05/17/25 ATTN...WFO...PAH...ILX...IND...LMK... && STATUS REPORT FOR WT 265 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC003-055-059-065-069-087-127-151-153-165-181-193-199-170140- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDER FRANKLIN GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN JOHNSON MASSAC POPE PULASKI SALINE UNION WHITE WILLIAMSON $$ INC005-011-013-019-021-025-027-031-035-037-043-051-055-057-059- 061-063-065-067-071-077-079-081-083-093-095-097-101-105-109-117- 119-123-125-129-133-135-139-143-145-147-153-159-163-173-175- 170140- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTHOLOMEW BOONE BROWN CLARK CLAY CRAWFORD DAVIESS DECATUR DELAWARE DUBOIS FLOYD GIBSON GREENE HAMILTON HANCOCK HARRISON HENDRICKS HENRY HOWARD JACKSON JEFFERSON JENNINGS JOHNSON KNOX LAWRENCE MADISON MARION MARTIN MONROE MORGAN ORANGE OWEN PERRY PIKE POSEY PUTNAM RANDOLPH RUSH SCOTT SHELBY SPENCER SULLIVAN TIPTON VANDERBURGH WARRICK WASHINGTON $$ KYC007-027-029-031-033-035-039-047-055-059-061-075-083-085-091- 093-101-105-107-111-139-141-143-145-149-157-163-177-183-185-213- 219-221-223-225-227-233-170140- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALLARD BRECKINRIDGE BULLITT BUTLER CALDWELL CALLOWAY CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN DAVIESS EDMONSON FULTON GRAVES GRAYSON HANCOCK HARDIN HENDERSON HICKMAN HOPKINS JEFFERSON LIVINGSTON LOGAN LYON MCCRACKEN MCLEAN MARSHALL MEADE MUHLENBERG OHIO OLDHAM SIMPSON TODD TRIGG TRIMBLE UNION WARREN WEBSTER $$ MOC133-143-201-207-170140- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID SCOTT STODDARD $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$ STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 265 VALID 162340Z - 170040Z SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 N SLO TO 15 ESE MTO TO 25 SSW LAF TO 20 ENE LAF. ..THORNTON..05/16/25 ATTN...WFO...PAH...ILX...IND...LMK... && STATUS REPORT FOR WT 265 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC003-023-025-033-035-045-047-049-055-059-065-069-079-081-087- 101-127-151-153-159-165-181-185-191-193-199-170040- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDER CLARK CLAY CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND EDGAR EDWARDS EFFINGHAM FRANKLIN GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN JASPER JEFFERSON JOHNSON LAWRENCE MASSAC POPE PULASKI RICHLAND SALINE UNION WABASH WAYNE WHITE WILLIAMSON $$ INC005-011-013-019-021-023-025-027-031-035-037-043-051-055-057- 059-061-063-065-067-071-077-079-081-083-093-095-097-101-105-107- 109-117-119-121-123-125-129-133-135-139-143-145-147-153-159-163- 167-173-175-170040- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTHOLOMEW BOONE BROWN CLARK CLAY CLINTON CRAWFORD DAVIESS DECATUR DELAWARE DUBOIS FLOYD GIBSON GREENE HAMILTON HANCOCK HARRISON HENDRICKS HENRY HOWARD JACKSON JEFFERSON JENNINGS JOHNSON KNOX LAWRENCE MADISON MARION MARTIN MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN ORANGE OWEN PARKE PERRY PIKE POSEY PUTNAM RANDOLPH RUSH SCOTT SHELBY SPENCER SULLIVAN TIPTON VANDERBURGH VIGO WARRICK WASHINGTON $$ KYC007-027-029-031-033-035-039-047-055-059-061-075-083-085-091- 093-101-105-107-111-139-141-143-145-149-157-163-177-183-185-213- 219-221-223-225-227-233-170040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALLARD BRECKINRIDGE BULLITT BUTLER CALDWELL CALLOWAY CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN DAVIESS EDMONSON FULTON GRAVES GRAYSON HANCOCK HARDIN HENDERSON HICKMAN HOPKINS JEFFERSON LIVINGSTON LOGAN LYON MCCRACKEN MCLEAN MARSHALL MEADE MUHLENBERG OHIO OLDHAM SIMPSON TODD TRIGG TRIMBLE UNION WARREN WEBSTER $$ MOC133-143-201-207-170040- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID SCOTT STODDARD $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$ STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 265 VALID 162340Z - 170040Z SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW DEC TO 20 WSW MTO TO 5 NNE DNV. ..THORNTON..05/16/25 ATTN...WFO...PAH...ILX...IND...LMK... && STATUS REPORT FOR WT 265 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC003-023-025-029-033-035-045-047-049-055-059-065-069-079-081- 087-101-127-151-153-159-165-181-185-191-193-199-170040- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDER CLARK CLAY COLES CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND EDGAR EDWARDS EFFINGHAM FRANKLIN GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN JASPER JEFFERSON JOHNSON LAWRENCE MASSAC POPE PULASKI RICHLAND SALINE UNION WABASH WAYNE WHITE WILLIAMSON $$ INC005-011-013-015-019-021-023-025-027-031-035-037-043-045-051- 055-057-059-061-063-065-067-071-077-079-081-083-093-095-097-101- 105-107-109-117-119-121-123-125-129-133-135-139-143-145-147-153- 157-159-163-165-167-171-173-175-170040- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTHOLOMEW BOONE BROWN CARROLL CLARK CLAY CLINTON CRAWFORD DAVIESS DECATUR DELAWARE DUBOIS FLOYD FOUNTAIN GIBSON GREENE HAMILTON HANCOCK HARRISON HENDRICKS HENRY HOWARD JACKSON JEFFERSON JENNINGS JOHNSON KNOX LAWRENCE MADISON MARION MARTIN MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN ORANGE OWEN PARKE PERRY PIKE POSEY PUTNAM RANDOLPH RUSH SCOTT SHELBY SPENCER SULLIVAN TIPPECANOE TIPTON VANDERBURGH VERMILLION VIGO WARREN WARRICK WASHINGTON $$ KYC007-027-029-031-033-035-039-047-055-059-061-075-083-085-091- 093-101-105-107-111-139-141-143-145-149-157-163-177-183-185-213- 219-221-223-225-227-233-170040- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALLARD BRECKINRIDGE BULLITT BUTLER CALDWELL CALLOWAY CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN DAVIESS EDMONSON FULTON GRAVES GRAYSON HANCOCK HARDIN HENDERSON HICKMAN HOPKINS JEFFERSON LIVINGSTON LOGAN LYON MCCRACKEN MCLEAN MARSHALL MEADE MUHLENBERG OHIO OLDHAM SIMPSON TODD TRIGG TRIMBLE UNION WARREN WEBSTER $$ MOC133-143-201-207-170040- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID SCOTT STODDARD $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$ STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 265 VALID 162235Z - 162340Z SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 40 SSW DEC TO 20 WSW MTO TO 20 ESE CMI TO 5 NNE DNV. ..THORNTON..05/16/25 ATTN...WFO...PAH...ILX...IND...LMK... && STATUS REPORT FOR WT 265 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC003-023-025-029-033-035-045-047-049-055-059-065-069-079-081- 087-101-127-151-153-159-165-181-185-191-193-199-162340- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDER CLARK CLAY COLES CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND EDGAR EDWARDS EFFINGHAM FRANKLIN GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN JASPER JEFFERSON JOHNSON LAWRENCE MASSAC POPE PULASKI RICHLAND SALINE UNION WABASH WAYNE WHITE WILLIAMSON $$ INC005-011-013-015-019-021-023-025-027-031-035-037-043-045-051- 055-057-059-061-063-065-067-071-077-079-081-083-093-095-097-101- 105-107-109-117-119-121-123-125-129-133-135-139-143-145-147-153- 157-159-163-165-167-171-173-175-162340- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTHOLOMEW BOONE BROWN CARROLL CLARK CLAY CLINTON CRAWFORD DAVIESS DECATUR DELAWARE DUBOIS FLOYD FOUNTAIN GIBSON GREENE HAMILTON HANCOCK HARRISON HENDRICKS HENRY HOWARD JACKSON JEFFERSON JENNINGS JOHNSON KNOX LAWRENCE MADISON MARION MARTIN MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN ORANGE OWEN PARKE PERRY PIKE POSEY PUTNAM RANDOLPH RUSH SCOTT SHELBY SPENCER SULLIVAN TIPPECANOE TIPTON VANDERBURGH VERMILLION VIGO WARREN WARRICK WASHINGTON $$ KYC007-027-029-031-033-035-039-047-055-059-061-075-083-085-091- 093-101-105-107-111-139-141-143-145-149-157-163-177-183-185-213- 219-221-223-225-227-233-162340- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALLARD BRECKINRIDGE BULLITT BUTLER CALDWELL CALLOWAY CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN DAVIESS EDMONSON FULTON GRAVES GRAYSON HANCOCK HARDIN HENDERSON HICKMAN HOPKINS JEFFERSON LIVINGSTON LOGAN LYON MCCRACKEN MCLEAN MARSHALL MEADE MUHLENBERG OHIO OLDHAM SIMPSON TODD TRIGG TRIMBLE UNION WARREN WEBSTER $$ MOC133-143-201-207-162340- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID SCOTT STODDARD $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$ STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 265 VALID 162135Z - 162240Z THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA. ..THORNTON..05/16/25 ATTN...WFO...PAH...ILX...IND...LMK... && STATUS REPORT FOR WT 265 SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS ILC003-019-023-025-029-033-035-041-045-047-049-055-059-065-069- 079-081-087-101-115-127-139-147-151-153-159-165-173-181-183-185- 191-193-199-162240- IL . ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE ALEXANDER CHAMPAIGN CLARK CLAY COLES CRAWFORD CUMBERLAND DOUGLAS EDGAR EDWARDS EFFINGHAM FRANKLIN GALLATIN HAMILTON HARDIN JASPER JEFFERSON JOHNSON LAWRENCE MACON MASSAC MOULTRIE PIATT POPE PULASKI RICHLAND SALINE SHELBY UNION VERMILION WABASH WAYNE WHITE WILLIAMSON $$ INC005-011-013-015-019-021-023-025-027-031-035-037-043-045-051- 055-057-059-061-063-065-067-071-077-079-081-083-093-095-097-101- 105-107-109-117-119-121-123-125-129-133-135-139-143-145-147-153- 157-159-163-165-167-171-173-175-162240- IN . INDIANA COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BARTHOLOMEW BOONE BROWN CARROLL CLARK CLAY CLINTON CRAWFORD DAVIESS DECATUR DELAWARE DUBOIS FLOYD FOUNTAIN GIBSON GREENE HAMILTON HANCOCK HARRISON HENDRICKS HENRY HOWARD JACKSON JEFFERSON JENNINGS JOHNSON KNOX LAWRENCE MADISON MARION MARTIN MONROE MONTGOMERY MORGAN ORANGE OWEN PARKE PERRY PIKE POSEY PUTNAM RANDOLPH RUSH SCOTT SHELBY SPENCER SULLIVAN TIPPECANOE TIPTON VANDERBURGH VERMILLION VIGO WARREN WARRICK WASHINGTON $$ KYC007-027-029-031-033-035-039-047-055-059-061-075-083-085-091- 093-101-105-107-111-139-141-143-145-149-157-163-177-183-185-213- 219-221-223-225-227-233-162240- KY . KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE BALLARD BRECKINRIDGE BULLITT BUTLER CALDWELL CALLOWAY CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN DAVIESS EDMONSON FULTON GRAVES GRAYSON HANCOCK HARDIN HENDERSON HICKMAN HOPKINS JEFFERSON LIVINGSTON LOGAN LYON MCCRACKEN MCLEAN MARSHALL MEADE MUHLENBERG OHIO OLDHAM SIMPSON TODD TRIGG TRIMBLE UNION WARREN WEBSTER $$ MOC133-143-201-207-162240- MO . MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID SCOTT STODDARD $$ THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES. $$
Note:
Click for Complete Product Text.
Tornadoes
| Probability of 2 or more tornadoes |
High (80%) |
| Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes |
Mod (60%) |
Wind
| Probability of 10 or more severe wind events |
High (80%) |
| Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots |
High (70%) |
Hail
| Probability of 10 or more severe hail events |
High (80%) |
| Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches |
High (80%) |
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
| Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events |
High (>95%) |
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
2025-05-17 02:33:06
