Storm Prediction Center Severe Thunderstorm Watch 277
3 min read
2 weeks ago
Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 277
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1235 PM EDT Sat May 17 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western New Hampshire
Central and Northern New York
Vermont
Lake Ontario
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 1235 PM
until 800 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will increase in
coverage through the afternoon. Locally damaging winds are the main
concern, but the strongest cells could also produce large hail and
perhaps a tornado.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles east southeast
of Montpelier VT to 5 miles south of Rochester NY. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26030.
...Hart
SEL7
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 277
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1235 PM EDT Sat May 17 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western New Hampshire
Central and Northern New York
Vermont
Lake Ontario
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 1235 PM
until 800 PM EDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered strong to severe thunderstorms will increase in
coverage through the afternoon. Locally damaging winds are the main
concern, but the strongest cells could also produce large hail and
perhaps a tornado.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 75
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles east southeast
of Montpelier VT to 5 miles south of Rochester NY. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU7).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
26030.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW7
WW 277 SEVERE TSTM NH NY VT LO 171635Z - 180000Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30ESE MPV/MONTPELIER VT/ - 5S ROC/ROCHESTER NY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM N/S /27ESE MPV - 44E BUF/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..55 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26030.
LAT...LON 42957200 41967767 44137767 45127200
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU7.
Watch 277 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Low (<2%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (50%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Low (20%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Mod (40%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Low (20%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (80%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.