Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 844

   Mesoscale Discussion 0844
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0529 PM CDT Sat May 17 2025

   Areas affected...North Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 278...

   Valid 172229Z - 172330Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 278
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Supercell thunderstorms capable of primarily large hail
   and damaging winds are approaching the southern periphery of the
   Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex. 2.00-3.5" hail and 65-80 MPH winds are
   possible as storms continue north and east this evening.

   DISCUSSION...A loose cluster of supercell thunderstorms is
   approaching the Dallas/Fort Worth metroplex, which will be capable
   of large hail and damaging winds. The overall messy nature of
   convection appears to be somewhat limiting the severity of hail for
   the time being, but will pose a damaging wind threat in the short
   term. Additionally, a northward-moving left-split supercell to the
   west of Fort Worth will serve as the local maximum for a large hail
   threat within WW 278 for the next 1-2 hours.

   ..Halbert.. 05/17/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...

   LAT...LON   31459683 31199727 31319772 31539767 31979765 32389776
               32759816 33029837 33429828 33669803 33619730 33349663
               33259655 32759640 32079641 31459683 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN