Storm Prediction Center Severe Thunderstorm Watch 259
4 min read
3 weeks ago
Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 259
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
225 AM CDT Fri May 16 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
North-central and Northeast Arkansas
Southern Illinois
Southwest Indiana
Western Kentucky
Southeast Missouri
Northwest Tennessee
* Effective this Friday morning from 225 AM until 900 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected to develop and
move rapidly northeast across the watch area early this morning.
Large hail and damaging thunderstorm gusts will be the primary
severe weather hazard, although a tornado or two will also be
possible.Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected to develop and
move rapidly northeast across the watch area early this morning.
Large hail and damaging thunderstorm gusts will be the primary
severe weather hazard, although a tornado or two will also be
possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles south
southwest of Flippin AR to 20 miles north northeast of Bowling Green
KY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
24045.
...Bunting
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 259
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
225 AM CDT Fri May 16 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
North-central and Northeast Arkansas
Southern Illinois
Southwest Indiana
Western Kentucky
Southeast Missouri
Northwest Tennessee
* Effective this Friday morning from 225 AM until 900 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected to develop and
move rapidly northeast across the watch area early this morning.
Large hail and damaging thunderstorm gusts will be the primary
severe weather hazard, although a tornado or two will also be
possible.Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected to develop and
move rapidly northeast across the watch area early this morning.
Large hail and damaging thunderstorm gusts will be the primary
severe weather hazard, although a tornado or two will also be
possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 60
statute miles north and south of a line from 30 miles south
southwest of Flippin AR to 20 miles north northeast of Bowling Green
KY. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch
outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean storm motion vector
24045.
...Bunting
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 259 SEVERE TSTM AR IL IN KY MO TN 160725Z - 161400Z
AXIS..60 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
30SSW FLP/FLIPPIN AR/ - 20NNE BWG/BOWLING GREEN KY/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 50NM N/S /71NNW LIT - 20NNE BWG/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.
LAT...LON 36669267 38118628 36378628 34939267
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 259 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Low (5%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (50%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Low (20%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Mod (60%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Mod (60%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (90%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
