Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 824

   Mesoscale Discussion 0824
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0553 PM CDT Fri May 16 2025

   Areas affected...Far southeast Virginia and eastern North Carolina

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 264...

   Valid 162253Z - 170030Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 264
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms capable of damaging winds and hail
   will continue into the evening, before gradually dissipating and
   moving offshore into the Atlantic.

   DISCUSSION...Scattered severe thunderstorms are ongoing across
   portions of far southeastern Virginia into eastern North Carolina,
   capable of damaging straight-line winds and large hail. Recent radar
   scans from Wakefield, VA show 60-65 kts at 600-700 ft ARL, primarily
   along the leading edge of the convection. Warn on Forecast guidance
   also indicates this convection will persist into the evening, with
   some locally higher probabilities of 50+ kt winds before dissipating
   and moving offshore.

   ..Halbert.. 05/16/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...

   LAT...LON   36007731 36197778 36247790 36327794 36427789 36537777
               36807744 37057725 37167716 37267709 37337706 37317695
               37167660 37037630 36717588 36297569 35967560 35797663
               36007731 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN