Storm Prediction Center Severe Thunderstorm Watch 238
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8 hours ago
Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 238
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1225 PM CDT Thu May 8 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Western and Central Kentucky
Western and Middle Tennessee
* Effective this Thursday afternoon and evening from 1225 PM
until 800 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
SUMMARY...Multiple supercells and thunderstorm clusters are expected
to develop and spread generally eastward this afternoon and evening.
Both large hail generally 1-2 inches in diameter and damaging winds
will be a threat with this activity. Peak gusts could reach up to
60-70 mph if any thunderstorms can form.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles north and south of a line from 20 miles north of
Jackson TN to 40 miles north of Crossville TN. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
27030.
...Gleason
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 238 SEVERE TSTM KY TN 081725Z - 090100Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
20N MKL/JACKSON TN/ - 40N CSV/CROSSVILLE TN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /21ESE DYR - 55WSW LOZ/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 27030.
LAT...LON 36838892 37478508 35598508 34958892
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 238 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 238
VALID 081955Z - 082040Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..BENTLEY..05/08/25
ATTN...WFO...LMK...PAH...OHX...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 238
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ILC059-069-127-151-082040-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
GALLATIN HARDIN MASSAC
POPE
$$
KYC001-003-007-009-031-033-035-039-045-047-053-055-057-059-061-
075-083-085-087-099-101-105-107-139-141-143-145-149-157-169-171-
177-183-207-213-217-219-221-225-227-233-082040-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ADAIR ALLEN BALLARD
BARREN BUTLER CALDWELL
CALLOWAY CARLISLE CASEY
CHRISTIAN CLINTON CRITTENDEN
CUMBERLAND DAVIESS EDMONSON
FULTON GRAVES GRAYSON
GREEN HART HENDERSON
HICKMAN HOPKINS LIVINGSTON
LOGAN LYON MCCRACKEN
MCLEAN MARSHALL METCALFE
MONROE MUHLENBERG OHIO
RUSSELL SIMPSON TAYLOR
TODD TRIGG UNION
WARREN WEBSTER
$$
MSC003-009-057-081-115-117-139-141-145-082040-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON ITAWAMBA
LEE PONTOTOC PRENTISS
TIPPAH TISHOMINGO UNION
$$
TNC003-005-015-017-021-023-027-031-035-037-039-041-043-049-053-
055-061-069-071-077-079-081-083-085-087-099-101-109-111-113-117-
119-125-131-133-135-137-141-147-149-159-161-165-169-175-177-181-
183-185-187-189-082040-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BEDFORD BENTON CANNON
CARROLL CHEATHAM CHESTER
CLAY COFFEE CUMBERLAND
DAVIDSON DECATUR DE KALB
DICKSON FENTRESS GIBSON
GILES GRUNDY HARDEMAN
HARDIN HENDERSON HENRY
HICKMAN HOUSTON HUMPHREYS
JACKSON LAWRENCE LEWIS
MCNAIRY MACON MADISON
MARSHALL MAURY MONTGOMERY
OBION OVERTON PERRY
PICKETT PUTNAM ROBERTSON
RUTHERFORD SMITH STEWART
SUMNER TROUSDALE VAN BUREN
WARREN WAYNE WEAKLEY
WHITE WILLIAMSON WILSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Low (<2%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (60%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Low (20%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
High (70%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Mod (30%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (90%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.