Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 229
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
855 PM CDT Mon May 5 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Far Southeast New Mexico
West into Southwest and South-Central Texas
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 855 PM
until 400 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are forecast to continue across the
Permian Basin this evening. Additional severe thunderstorms are
forecast farther southeast into the Pecos Valley and Edwards Plateau
regions. It is here that scattered supercells are forecast to
evolve by late evening and persist into the overnight. Moist low
levels with strengthening flow fields will support supercells
potentially capable of a couple of tornadoes, large to very large
hail, and severe gusts.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
north and south of a line from 50 miles west southwest of Hobbs NM
to 50 miles south southeast of Junction TX. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 227...WW 228...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 21035.
...Smith
SEL9
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 229
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
855 PM CDT Mon May 5 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Far Southeast New Mexico
West into Southwest and South-Central Texas
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 855 PM
until 400 AM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A couple tornadoes possible
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph possible
SUMMARY...Severe thunderstorms are forecast to continue across the
Permian Basin this evening. Additional severe thunderstorms are
forecast farther southeast into the Pecos Valley and Edwards Plateau
regions. It is here that scattered supercells are forecast to
evolve by late evening and persist into the overnight. Moist low
levels with strengthening flow fields will support supercells
potentially capable of a couple of tornadoes, large to very large
hail, and severe gusts.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
north and south of a line from 50 miles west southwest of Hobbs NM
to 50 miles south southeast of Junction TX. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU9).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 227...WW 228...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 21035.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW9
WW 229 TORNADO NM TX 060155Z - 060900Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
50WSW HOB/HOBBS NM/ - 50SSE JCT/JUNCTION TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM N/S /51NW INK - 49SSE JCT/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21035.
LAT...LON 33560401 31019945 28699945 31240401
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU9.
Watch 229 Status Report Message has not been issued yet.
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Low (20%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (50%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Mod (50%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Mod (60%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Mod (60%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (90%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
