Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 713

   Mesoscale Discussion 0713
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0755 AM CDT Tue May 06 2025

   Areas affected...Parts of north-central TX and far south-central OK

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 230...

   Valid 061255Z - 061430Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 230
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Some severe threat could spread eastward with time this
   morning.

   DISCUSSION...A persistent storm cluster with an embedded supercell
   is approaching north-central TX this morning, with other convection
   increasing in advance of this cluster within a low-level
   warm-advection regime. The 12Z FWD sounding depicted moderate
   elevated buoyancy and sufficient deep-layer shear for storm
   organization, and some short-term threat for hail and isolated
   strong to severe gusts may spread eastward this morning, both with
   the ongoing cluster and any intensifying downstream cells. Depending
   on short-term trends, local extension of WW 230 and/or new watch
   issuance is possible later this morning.

   ..Dean/Guyer.. 05/06/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...

   LAT...LON   33129906 34039832 34019722 33439699 33049679 32449677
               32069711 31949816 31899889 32019891 32249892 33129906 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN