Storm Prediction Center Severe Thunderstorm Watch 215
6 min read
23 hours ago
Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 215
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
310 PM CDT Fri May 2 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
West Central Texas
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 310 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Widely scattered supercell thunderstorms are expected to
develop this afternoon across the watch area. These storms will
drift southeastward through the early evening, posing a risk of very
large hail and damaging winds. A tornado is also possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles east and west of a line from 80 miles north of Del Rio
TX to 15 miles west southwest of Cotulla TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 209...WW 210...WW
211...WW 212...WW 213...WW 214...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28025.
...Hart
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 215
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
310 PM CDT Fri May 2 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
West Central Texas
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 310 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 3
inches in diameter likely
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Widely scattered supercell thunderstorms are expected to
develop this afternoon across the watch area. These storms will
drift southeastward through the early evening, posing a risk of very
large hail and damaging winds. A tornado is also possible.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 65
statute miles east and west of a line from 80 miles north of Del Rio
TX to 15 miles west southwest of Cotulla TX. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 209...WW 210...WW
211...WW 212...WW 213...WW 214...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
3 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 60 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
28025.
...Hart
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 215 SEVERE TSTM TX 022010Z - 030300Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
80N DRT/DEL RIO TX/ - 15WSW COT/COTULLA TX/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM E/W /56SSW SJT - 53N LRD/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..3 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 28025.
LAT...LON 30529983 28369838 28360052 30520201
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 215 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #6 ON WW 215
VALID 030135Z - 030240Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 WNW DRT
TO 10 NE HDO.
..KERR..05/03/25
ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 215
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC013-127-163-271-323-325-463-507-030240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATASCOSA DIMMIT FRIO
KINNEY MAVERICK MEDINA
UVALDE ZAVALA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #5 ON WW 215
VALID 030045Z - 030140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 WNW DRT
TO 10 NE HDO.
..KERR..05/03/25
ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 215
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC013-127-163-271-323-325-463-507-030140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATASCOSA DIMMIT FRIO
KINNEY MAVERICK MEDINA
UVALDE ZAVALA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 215
VALID 022340Z - 030040Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 35 E 6R6 TO
25 NNW HDO.
..KERR..05/02/25
ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 215
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC013-019-127-137-163-265-271-323-325-385-463-465-507-030040-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATASCOSA BANDERA DIMMIT
EDWARDS FRIO KERR
KINNEY MAVERICK MEDINA
REAL UVALDE VAL VERDE
ZAVALA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 215
VALID 022245Z - 022340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 ENE 6R6
TO 20 SSE JCT.
..KERR..05/02/25
ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 215
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC013-019-127-137-163-265-271-323-325-385-463-465-507-022340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATASCOSA BANDERA DIMMIT
EDWARDS FRIO KERR
KINNEY MAVERICK MEDINA
REAL UVALDE VAL VERDE
ZAVALA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 215
VALID 022150Z - 022240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LYONS..05/02/25
ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 215
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC013-019-105-127-137-163-265-267-271-323-325-385-435-463-465-
507-022240-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATASCOSA BANDERA CROCKETT
DIMMIT EDWARDS FRIO
KERR KIMBLE KINNEY
MAVERICK MEDINA REAL
SUTTON UVALDE VAL VERDE
ZAVALA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 215
VALID 022025Z - 022140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LYONS..05/02/25
ATTN...WFO...EWX...SJT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 215
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
TXC013-019-105-127-137-163-265-267-271-323-325-385-435-463-465-
507-022140-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ATASCOSA BANDERA CROCKETT
DIMMIT EDWARDS FRIO
KERR KIMBLE KINNEY
MAVERICK MEDINA REAL
SUTTON UVALDE VAL VERDE
ZAVALA
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Low (<2%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (60%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Low (20%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
High (70%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Mod (60%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (>95%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
