Storm Prediction Center Severe Thunderstorm Watch 201
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5 hours ago
Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL1
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 201
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
710 PM CDT Wed Apr 30 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Eastern Arkansas
Southeast Missouri
Northwest Mississippi
Western Tennessee
* Effective this Wednesday evening from 710 PM until 1100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 65 mph possible
SUMMARY...A squall line will continue east into the Watch area this
evening. Strong to severe gusts capable of wind damage will be the
primary hazard with the more intense portions of the thunderstorm
band.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40
statute miles east and west of a line from 55 miles northeast of
Walnut Ridge AR to 105 miles south southwest of Memphis TN. For a
complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline
update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU1).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 198...WW 199...WW 200...
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1 inch. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 55 knots. A few
cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 450. Mean storm motion vector
26025.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW1
WW 201 SEVERE TSTM AR MO MS TN 010010Z - 010400Z
AXIS..40 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
55NE ARG/WALNUT RIDGE AR/ - 105SSW MEM/MEMPHIS TN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 35NM E/W /49NE ARG - 23WNW SQS/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1 INCH. WIND GUSTS..55 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 450. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 26025.
LAT...LON 36688951 33638998 33639137 36689095
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU1.
Watch 201 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 201
VALID 010240Z - 010340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 5 E GLH TO
30 NW MEM TO 35 WNW POF.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 629
..WEINMAN..05/01/25
ATTN...WFO...MEG...LZK...PAH...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 201
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC021-035-055-093-010340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CRITTENDEN GREENE
MISSISSIPPI
$$
MSC027-033-107-119-133-135-137-143-010340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
COAHOMA DESOTO PANOLA
QUITMAN SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE
TATE TUNICA
$$
MOC023-069-143-155-207-010340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER DUNKLIN NEW MADRID
PEMISCOT STODDARD
$$
TNC045-095-097-157-167-010340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DYER LAKE LAUDERDALE
SHELBY TIPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 201
VALID 010135Z - 010240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..WEINMAN..05/01/25
ATTN...WFO...MEG...LZK...PAH...JAN...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 201
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC021-031-035-037-055-075-077-093-107-111-121-123-135-010240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN
CROSS GREENE LAWRENCE
LEE MISSISSIPPI PHILLIPS
POINSETT RANDOLPH ST. FRANCIS
SHARP
$$
MSC011-027-033-107-119-133-135-137-143-010240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BOLIVAR COAHOMA DESOTO
PANOLA QUITMAN SUNFLOWER
TALLAHATCHIE TATE TUNICA
$$
MOC023-069-143-155-181-207-010240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER DUNKLIN NEW MADRID
PEMISCOT RIPLEY STODDARD
$$
TNC045-095-097-157-167-010240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
DYER LAKE LAUDERDALE
SHELBY TIPTON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Low (<2%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (50%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Low (20%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Low (10%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Low (10%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
Mod (60%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
