Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 608

   Mesoscale Discussion 0608
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0355 PM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025

   Areas affected...Portions of South Plains into western North Texas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 190...

   Valid 292055Z - 292230Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 190
   continues.

   SUMMARY...A localized corridor of tornado potential may develop over
   the next few hours. Storms will need to root along/east of the
   surface boundary for this potential to be realized.

   DISCUSSION...A cluster of supercells, some of which have produced
   greater than 2 inch hail, are generally rooted just on the cool side
   of the surface cold front. If storms can remain discrete and track
   with a more eastward motion, warm/moist easterly surface winds are
   in the warm sector. Greater tornado potential would exist should
   that scenario occur. Given at least a modest increase in low-level
   flow this evening, it is possible the boundary moves slightly
   northwestward. Trends will be monitored.

   ..Wendt.. 04/29/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...MAF...

   LAT...LON   32970169 33450131 34009979 33919933 33549957 32970034
               32870105 32970169 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.00-3.50 IN