Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 599

   Mesoscale Discussion 0599
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0552 AM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025

   Areas affected...central into northeast Oklahoma...far southeast
   Kansas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 186...

   Valid 291052Z - 291345Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 186
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Locally severe gusts remain possible from central into
   northeast Oklahoma.

   DISCUSSION...The leading edge of a small MCS which moved out of
   northwest TX and pivoted into southwest OK continues to produce
   measured severe gusts, most recently in Grady County as of 1030Z.
   North of this area, storms have gradually increased along the cold
   front extending from southeast KS into north-central OK. This line
   of storms is also beginning to produce outflow as well.

   An unstable air mass remains ahead of both convective systems, and
   it appears these storms will merge from central into northeast OK.
   Damaging gusts will remain the most likely threat, although hail of
   1.00+" is likely in the stronger storm cores.

   ..Jewell/Mosier.. 04/29/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...SGF...TSA...ICT...OUN...

   LAT...LON   36179771 36679683 37129590 37279534 37379454 37129419
               36239417 34799667 34669735 35089757 35359796 35729808
               35979802 36179771 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN