Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 598

   Mesoscale Discussion 0598
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0306 AM CDT Tue Apr 29 2025

   Areas affected...southwest Oklahoma into northwest Texas

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 290806Z - 291000Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent

   SUMMARY...A few strong to severe gust may occur from northwest Texas
   into southwest Oklahoma this morning. The situation may not require
   a watch.

   DISCUSSION...An MCS is rapidly moving eastward into northwest TX,
   with several gusts over 50 kt recently. Radar indicates the leading
   edge of this convective line remains strong and well balanced. Given
   a moist and unstable air mass downstream, it is expected this system
   will persist for a few more hours. However, longevity may also
   depend on capping. At the very least, isolated severe gusts may
   occur. Trends will continue to be monitored.

   ..Jewell/Mosier.. 04/29/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...

   LAT...LON   34309996 34709984 34819944 34939822 34759773 34489756
               34019759 33569772 33399840 33180004 33270030 34309996 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN