Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 565

   Mesoscale Discussion 0565
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0343 AM CDT Sat Apr 26 2025

   Areas affected...Southern Texas Panhandle

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 174...

   Valid 260843Z - 261045Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 174
   continues.

   SUMMARY...An isolated threat for large hail and severe gusts could
   continue for another hour or two. Weather watch extension may become
   necessary as the 09Z watch expiration approaches.

   DISCUSSION...Latest hi-res radar imagery from Amarillo shows an MCS
   over the southern Texas Panhandle extending westward into
   northeastern New Mexico. This relatively large cluster of storms is
   located along an east-to-west oriented instability gradient, with
   the RAP suggesting that MLCAPE is in the 1000 to 1500 J/kg range.
   These storms are being supported by large-scale associated with
   shortwave trough over west Texas, and by warm advection that is
   occurring over the southern Plains. The WSR-88D VWP from Amarillo
   has 0-6 km shear near 40 knots with an abrupt wind shift around 1 km
   above ground level. This amount of deep-layer shear will be
   sufficient for supercells, with large hail as the primary threat.
   Isolated severe gusts will also be possible. The severe threat my
   last for a couple more hours, and could necessitate a watch
   extension.

   ..Broyles.. 04/26/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...OUN...LUB...AMA...

   LAT...LON   34459998 34270044 34230133 34260246 34470297 34760301
               34960294 35130263 35140179 35100012 34459998 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.00-1.75 IN