Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 563

   Mesoscale Discussion 0563
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0701 PM CDT Fri Apr 25 2025

   Areas affected...West Texas into far southeastern New Mexico

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 173...

   Valid 260001Z - 260200Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 173
   continues.

   SUMMARY...The threat for large hail and damaging winds will continue
   across WW 173 into the early evening hours.

   DISCUSSION...Thunderstorms developing in an environment largely
   characterized by straight-line hodographs will continue to favor
   splitting supercells capable of large hail and damaging winds. The
   most robust of these supercells is a left split that has moved
   northward into WW 172, but additional storms continue to develop
   along the higher terrain of the Trans-Pecos mountains. Short term
   forecast guidance suggests that this activity should die down after
   sunset, though ample buoyancy and shear along with a westward
   retreating dryline could result in some lingering after-dark threat.

   ..Halbert.. 04/26/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MAF...

   LAT...LON   30690456 31170481 32250478 32600459 32800416 32830353
               32730292 32420256 31900241 31290252 30790270 30510292
               30510378 30490421 30690456 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...85-115 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...2.75-4.25 IN