Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 439

   Mesoscale Discussion 0439
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0648 PM CDT Mon Apr 07 2025

   Areas affected...Eastern Carolinas

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 134...

   Valid 072348Z - 080115Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 134
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Strong, to locally severe, thunderstorms will spread
   across the eastern Carolinas this evening.

   DISCUSSION...Pre-frontal confluence zone extends across the Coastal
   Carolinas early this evening. Over the last half hour or so, some
   increase in intensity has been noted with convection from near
   FLO-MEB. This activity has gradually evolved into a line segment,
   and damaging winds may become a threat if a bowing-type structure
   ultimately evolves. Damaging winds are the greatest risk with
   organized convection this evening.

   ..Darrow.. 04/07/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...

   LAT...LON   33448059 36707725 36707508 33457851 33448059 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...65-80 MPH