Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 115
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
255 PM CDT Fri Apr 4 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northeast Arkansas
Extreme southern Illinois
Western Kentucky
Southeast Missouri
Norhern Mississippi
Western and Middle Tennessee
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 255 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Widely scattered supercell development is expected this
afternoon from northern Mississippi across western/Middle Tennessee
into western Kentucky. The storm environment supports the potential
for several tornadoes (including an isolated strong tornado), large
hail up to 2 inches in diameter, and isolated damaging gusts. The
potential for damaging winds up to 75 mph will increase later this
evening into early tonight as storm clusters spread into southeast
Missouri from Arkansas.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
east and west of a line from 30 miles east northeast of Paducah KY
to 25 miles south southwest of Memphis TN. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 113...WW 114...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 24025.
...Thompson
SEL5
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 115
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
255 PM CDT Fri Apr 4 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Northeast Arkansas
Extreme southern Illinois
Western Kentucky
Southeast Missouri
Norhern Mississippi
Western and Middle Tennessee
* Effective this Friday afternoon and evening from 255 PM until
1000 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging winds likely with isolated significant gusts
to 75 mph possible
Scattered large hail likely with isolated very large hail events
to 2 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...Widely scattered supercell development is expected this
afternoon from northern Mississippi across western/Middle Tennessee
into western Kentucky. The storm environment supports the potential
for several tornadoes (including an isolated strong tornado), large
hail up to 2 inches in diameter, and isolated damaging gusts. The
potential for damaging winds up to 75 mph will increase later this
evening into early tonight as storm clusters spread into southeast
Missouri from Arkansas.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 80 statute miles
east and west of a line from 30 miles east northeast of Paducah KY
to 25 miles south southwest of Memphis TN. For a complete depiction
of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS
WOU5).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 113...WW 114...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 550. Mean
storm motion vector 24025.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW5
WW 115 TORNADO AR IL KY MO MS TN 041955Z - 050300Z
AXIS..80 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
30ENE PAH/PADUCAH KY/ - 25SSW MEM/MEMPHIS TN/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 70NM E/W /48SSW PXV - 23SSW MEM/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 550. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24025.
LAT...LON 37238681 34708874 34709156 37238972
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU5.
Watch 115 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #4 ON WW 115
VALID 050050Z - 050140Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 30 S OWB TO
30 ENE DYR TO 20 E MEM TO 35 ENE PBF.
..SUPINIE..04/05/25
ATTN...WFO...MEG...PAH...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 115
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC021-031-035-037-055-093-111-123-050140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN
CROSS GREENE MISSISSIPPI
POINSETT ST. FRANCIS
$$
ILC003-059-069-077-087-127-151-153-165-181-199-050140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER GALLATIN HARDIN
JACKSON JOHNSON MASSAC
POPE PULASKI SALINE
UNION WILLIAMSON
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-055-075-083-105-107-139-143-145-157-050140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CRITTENDEN FULTON
GRAVES HICKMAN HOPKINS
LIVINGSTON LYON MCCRACKEN
MARSHALL
$$
MOC023-031-069-133-143-155-181-201-207-050140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU DUNKLIN
MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID PEMISCOT
RIPLEY SCOTT STODDARD
$$
TNC033-045-047-053-075-095-097-131-157-167-183-050140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CROCKETT DYER FAYETTE
GIBSON HAYWOOD LAKE
LAUDERDALE OBION SHELBY
TIPTON WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #3 ON WW 115
VALID 042250Z - 042340Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 25 SSE OWB
TO 30 ENE DYR TO 20 E MEM TO 35 ENE PBF.
..LYONS..04/04/25
ATTN...WFO...MEG...PAH...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 115
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC021-031-035-037-055-077-093-095-111-123-042340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN
CROSS GREENE LEE
MISSISSIPPI MONROE POINSETT
ST. FRANCIS
$$
ILC003-059-069-077-087-127-151-153-165-181-199-042340-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER GALLATIN HARDIN
JACKSON JOHNSON MASSAC
POPE PULASKI SALINE
UNION WILLIAMSON
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-055-075-083-105-107-139-143-145-157-042340-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CRITTENDEN FULTON
GRAVES HICKMAN HOPKINS
LIVINGSTON LYON MCCRACKEN
MARSHALL
$$
MSC009-042340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON
$$
MOC023-031-069-133-143-155-181-201-207-042340-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER CAPE GIRARDEAU DUNKLIN
MISSISSIPPI NEW MADRID PEMISCOT
RIPLEY SCOTT STODDARD
$$
TNC033-045-047-053-075-095-097-131-157-167-183-042340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CROCKETT DYER FAYETTE
GIBSON HAYWOOD LAKE
LAUDERDALE OBION SHELBY
TIPTON WEAKLEY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #2 ON WW 115
VALID 042150Z - 042240Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LYONS..04/04/25
ATTN...WFO...MEG...PAH...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 115
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC021-031-035-037-055-077-093-107-111-123-042240-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN
CROSS GREENE LEE
MISSISSIPPI PHILLIPS POINSETT
ST. FRANCIS
$$
ILC003-069-087-127-151-153-181-042240-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER HARDIN JOHNSON
MASSAC POPE PULASKI
UNION
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-075-083-105-107-139-143-145-157-177-
219-221-042240-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN
HOPKINS LIVINGSTON LYON
MCCRACKEN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG
$$
MSC003-009-027-033-071-093-107-117-119-135-137-139-141-143-145-
042240-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON COAHOMA
DESOTO LAFAYETTE MARSHALL
PANOLA PRENTISS QUITMAN
TALLAHATCHIE TATE TIPPAH
TISHOMINGO TUNICA UNION
$$
MOC023-069-133-143-155-181-201-207-042240-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER DUNKLIN MISSISSIPPI
NEW MADRID PEMISCOT RIPLEY
SCOTT STODDARD
$$
TNC005-017-021-023-033-037-039-043-045-047-053-069-071-075-077-
079-081-083-085-095-097-101-109-113-119-125-131-135-147-157-161-
167-181-183-187-042240-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHEATHAM
CHESTER CROCKETT DAVIDSON
DECATUR DICKSON DYER
FAYETTE GIBSON HARDEMAN
HARDIN HAYWOOD HENDERSON
HENRY HICKMAN HOUSTON
HUMPHREYS LAKE LAUDERDALE
LEWIS MCNAIRY MADISON
MAURY MONTGOMERY OBION
PERRY ROBERTSON SHELBY
STEWART TIPTON WAYNE
WEAKLEY WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 115
VALID 042055Z - 042140Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LYONS..04/04/25
ATTN...WFO...MEG...PAH...OHX...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 115
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC021-031-035-037-055-077-093-107-111-123-042140-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
CLAY CRAIGHEAD CRITTENDEN
CROSS GREENE LEE
MISSISSIPPI PHILLIPS POINSETT
ST. FRANCIS
$$
ILC003-069-087-127-151-153-181-042140-
IL
. ILLINOIS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALEXANDER HARDIN JOHNSON
MASSAC POPE PULASKI
UNION
$$
KYC007-033-035-039-047-055-075-083-105-107-139-143-145-157-177-
219-221-042140-
KY
. KENTUCKY COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BALLARD CALDWELL CALLOWAY
CARLISLE CHRISTIAN CRITTENDEN
FULTON GRAVES HICKMAN
HOPKINS LIVINGSTON LYON
MCCRACKEN MARSHALL MUHLENBERG
TODD TRIGG
$$
MSC003-009-027-033-071-093-107-117-119-135-137-139-141-143-145-
042140-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON COAHOMA
DESOTO LAFAYETTE MARSHALL
PANOLA PRENTISS QUITMAN
TALLAHATCHIE TATE TIPPAH
TISHOMINGO TUNICA UNION
$$
MOC023-069-133-143-155-181-201-207-042140-
MO
. MISSOURI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BUTLER DUNKLIN MISSISSIPPI
NEW MADRID PEMISCOT RIPLEY
SCOTT STODDARD
$$
TNC005-017-021-023-033-037-039-043-045-047-053-069-071-075-077-
079-081-083-085-095-097-101-109-113-119-125-131-135-147-157-161-
167-181-183-187-042140-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHEATHAM
CHESTER CROCKETT DAVIDSON
DECATUR DICKSON DYER
FAYETTE GIBSON HARDEMAN
HARDIN HAYWOOD HENDERSON
HENRY HICKMAN HOUSTON
HUMPHREYS LAKE LAUDERDALE
LEWIS MCNAIRY MADISON
MAURY MONTGOMERY OBION
PERRY ROBERTSON SHELBY
STEWART TIPTON WAYNE
WEAKLEY WILLIAMSON
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Mod (40%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (60%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Mod (30%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Mod (60%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Mod (50%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (>95%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
