Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 350

   Mesoscale Discussion 0350
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0717 AM CDT Wed Apr 02 2025

   Areas affected...portions of western to east-central MO

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 94...96...

   Valid 021217Z - 021415Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 94, 96 continues.

   SUMMARY...Strong/damaging gusts and a couple of tornadoes remain
   possible across WW 94 and 96 over west-central MO. A downstream
   watch may be needed later this morning, though timing is uncertain.

   DISCUSSION...Strong to severe thunderstorms continue near a surface
   cold front across western MO this morning. Boundary layer moistening
   is slowly occurring as an intense low-level jet streams over the
   area, contributing to enlarged, looping hodographs. Some rotation
   has been noted amid the somewhat messy storm mode early this
   morning. Capping and weaker instability with eastward extent likely
   is tempering severe potential somewhat, but isolated strong gusts, a
   couple of tornadoes and sporadic large hail remain possible. This
   convection will continue to propagate eastward through the morning
   and some potential for a downstream watch into east-central MO
   exists. However, timing is uncertain as destabilization is expected
   to be more modest across eastern MO through the morning hours.
   Trends will continue to be monitored.

   ..Leitman/Gleason.. 04/02/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...

   LAT...LON   37939104 37849188 37919307 38159412 38449427 38779406
               39179347 39429184 39299092 38789054 38249070 37939104 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN