Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 337

   Mesoscale Discussion 0337
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0354 PM CDT Tue Apr 01 2025

   Areas affected...Portions of Sacramento/San Joaquin Valleys

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely 

   Valid 012054Z - 012300Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...5 percent

   SUMMARY...A couple stronger thunderstorms may exhibit low-level
   rotation. A brief tornado or strong wind gust is possible.

   DISCUSSION...Channeled southeasterly winds within the Valley have
   allowed very modest low-level SRH to develop. With a shortwave
   trough passing over the area, a couple of thunderstorms have
   developed this afternoon. Very weak low-level rotation was noted in
   a storm on KDAX velocity data. Given weak buoyancy, storms are not
   expected to be overly strong or long lasting. The wind profile may
   allow for marginally organized convection. A brief tornado or strong
   wind gust is possible.

   ..Wendt/Smith.. 04/01/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...STO...MTR...

   LAT...LON   40182250 40752246 40902218 39772122 38632057 38042038
               37632089 37862151 38242181 40182250 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...UP TO 95 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...UP TO 60 MPH