Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 304

   Mesoscale Discussion 0304
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0227 PM CDT Sun Mar 30 2025

   Areas affected...Far east-central Missouri...parts of southern
   Illinois

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 70...

   Valid 301927Z - 302100Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 70 continues.

   SUMMARY...Supercells moving into southern Illinois will pose a
   threat for tornadoes (possibly strong) and large to very-large hail.

   DISCUSSION...Storms in and moving into southern Illinois have so far
   remained discrete. Regional VAD data suggest that this region
   remains favorable for low-level rotation in supercells. As long as
   storms remain discrete, which is not certain given the cold front
   moving southeastward, there will be a threat for a tornado (possibly
   strong) and large to very-large hail.

   ..Wendt.. 03/30/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...IND...PAH...ILX...LSX...

   LAT...LON   37799093 37989090 38159077 38539030 38858953 39098825
               39058738 38738717 38448731 38138776 37938884 37719010
               37659072 37669085 37799093 

   MOST PROBABLE PEAK TORNADO INTENSITY...100-130 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK WIND GUST...55-70 MPH
   MOST PROBABLE PEAK HAIL SIZE...1.50-2.50 IN