Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 232

   Mesoscale Discussion 0232
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0121 PM CDT Sun Mar 16 2025

   Areas affected...northern and central Florida

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 52...

   Valid 161821Z - 161945Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 52 continues.

   SUMMARY...A couple of damaging gusts or a tornado cannot be ruled
   out through the remainder of the afternoon. An extension to Tornado
   Watch 52 or a new watch may be needed if storms maintain their
   intensity.

   DISCUSSION...A line of thunderstorms continues across the northern
   and central portions of the FL peninsula. Upper support continues to
   drift away from FL, which may limit thunderstorm intensity and
   severe potential to some degree. However, downstream ample heating
   is boosting MLCAPE to over 2000 J/kg, with residual strong flow
   aloft still contributing to 40-50 kts of effective bulk shear. As
   such, it is unclear the extent of future severe potential. Local
   temporal extensions of Tornado Watch 52, or the issuance of a new
   WW, may be needed if storms show signs of further organization or
   intensity.

   ..Squitieri.. 03/16/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...MLB...TBW...JAX...

   LAT...LON   28768334 30648225 31038168 30688141 29768102 29218126
               28458209 28218271 28178294 28228325 28768334