Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 224
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Mesoscale Discussion 224 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0224 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0849 AM CDT Sun Mar 16 2025 Areas affected...northeast South Carolina...eastern and central North Carolina...and southeast Virginia Concerning...Tornado Watch 51... Valid 161349Z - 161545Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 51 continues. SUMMARY...Gradual destabilization is occurring across eastern North Carolina. A downstream tornado watch will eventually be needed. DISCUSSION...A broken line of storms, well oriented to the deep-layer shear vector, is moving across south-central North Carolina and northern South Carolina. Currently instability is relatively weak ahead of this line (MLCAPE <250 J/kg). However, visible satellite shows some breaks in the clouds and temperatures have already increased 1 to 2 degrees Fahrenheit across eastern North Carolina. If temperatures warm into the low 70s with the presence of low to mid 60s dewpoints already in place, sufficient instability should develop to maintain and perhaps strengthen this line of storms at is moves east through the morning and into the early afternoon. If weak destabilization occurs as current observational trends suggest, a downstream tornado watch will eventually be needed across eastern North Carolina and southeast Virginia. ..Bentley/Gleason.. 03/16/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...RNK...CAE... LAT...LON 33267915 33667981 34458008 35458019 36237999 36807956 37357866 37517774 37447666 37217623 37027595 36617578 36247566 35927550 35647540 35327544 35187551 35077590 34707634 34527653 34627675 34597709 34287762 34067778 33747792 33857828 33687874 33267915 |
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2025-03-16 14:09:02