Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 220
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Mesoscale Discussion 220 | |
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Mesoscale Discussion 0220 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0343 AM CDT Sun Mar 16 2025 Areas affected...East central Georgia to the eastern Florida Panhandle Concerning...Tornado Watch 50... Valid 160843Z - 161015Z The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 50 continues. SUMMARY...Threat for occasional wind damage and a couple of tornadoes will persist through the morning. DISCUSSION...A forced, pre-frontal convective band is moving from central toward east central GA, with the band largely oriented parallel to the deep-layer flow/shear vectors. The QLCS in central GA is moving along the edge of the near-surface destabilization, and close to the 70 kt low-level jet core. Despite the weak near-surface buoyancy, occasional damaging gusts and a tornado or two could occur with embedded circulations, especially more north-south oriented segments. Stronger buoyancy is located farther to the southwest, where 68-70 F dewpoints have spread inland to extreme southwest GA and the eastern FL Panhandle. The more cellular storm mode in this area suggests some potential for occasional supercell structures, though low-level shear will slowly weaken through the morning as the low-level jet develops northeastward toward SC. ..Thompson.. 03/16/2025 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...CAE...JAX...FFC...TAE... LAT...LON 32928311 33548277 33778217 33568193 32888218 32198252 31598306 31018363 30378419 29948467 29758515 30348515 31708435 32928311 |
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2025-03-16 08:49:02