Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 44
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
555 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southeast Arkansas
Northern and central Louisiana
Northern Mississippi
Southwest Tennessee
* Effective this Saturday morning and afternoon from 555 AM until
100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will increase in coverage and intensity in
an extensive band from northern Louisiana to southeast Arkansas,
northern Mississippi and southwest Tennessee through the morning.
The storm environment will become more favorable for tornadic
supercells with time, including the potential for a few strong
(EF2-EF3) tornadoes later this morning. Otherwise, large hail of
1.5-2.5 inches in diameter and thunderstorm gusts of 60-75 mph will
also be possible.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
north and south of a line from 45 miles west northwest of
Natchitoches LA to 35 miles northeast of Tupelo MS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 41...WW 42...WW 43...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24045.
...Thompson
SEL4
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 44
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
555 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Southeast Arkansas
Northern and central Louisiana
Northern Mississippi
Southwest Tennessee
* Effective this Saturday morning and afternoon from 555 AM until
100 PM CDT.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes and a couple intense tornadoes likely
Scattered damaging winds and isolated significant gusts to 75
mph likely
Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2.5
inches in diameter likely
SUMMARY...Thunderstorms will increase in coverage and intensity in
an extensive band from northern Louisiana to southeast Arkansas,
northern Mississippi and southwest Tennessee through the morning.
The storm environment will become more favorable for tornadic
supercells with time, including the potential for a few strong
(EF2-EF3) tornadoes later this morning. Otherwise, large hail of
1.5-2.5 inches in diameter and thunderstorm gusts of 60-75 mph will
also be possible.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 65 statute miles
north and south of a line from 45 miles west northwest of
Natchitoches LA to 35 miles northeast of Tupelo MS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU4).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...CONTINUE...WW 41...WW 42...WW 43...
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 2.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 65 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean
storm motion vector 24045.
...Thompson
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW4
WW 44 TORNADO AR LA MS TN 151055Z - 151800Z
AXIS..65 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
45WNW IER/NATCHITOCHES LA/ - 35NE TUP/TUPELO MS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 55NM N/S /47S EIC - 42W MSL/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..2.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..65 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24045.
LAT...LON 32939381 35578833 33688833 31059381
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU4.
Watch 44 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 44
VALID 151315Z - 151440Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 SSW SHV
TO 50 S ELD TO 40 NNE ELD.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION SEE MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 197
..SQUITIERI..03/15/25
ATTN...WFO...JAN...LZK...SHV...LCH...MEG...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 44
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC003-011-017-041-043-139-151440-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ASHLEY BRADLEY CHICOT
DESHA DREW UNION
$$
LAC009-013-021-025-029-031-035-041-043-049-059-061-065-067-069-
073-079-081-083-085-107-111-115-123-127-151440-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
AVOYELLES BIENVILLE CALDWELL
CATAHOULA CONCORDIA DE SOTO
EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN GRANT
JACKSON LA SALLE LINCOLN
MADISON MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES
OUACHITA RAPIDES RED RIVER
RICHLAND SABINE TENSAS
UNION VERNON WEST CARROLL
WINN
$$
MSC003-009-011-013-015-017-025-027-043-051-053-055-057-071-081-
083-093-095-097-107-115-117-119-125-133-135-137-139-141-145-149-
151-155-161-163-151440-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ALCORN BENTON BOLIVAR
CALHOUN CARROLL CHICKASAW
CLAY COAHOMA GRENADA
HOLMES HUMPHREYS ISSAQUENA
ITAWAMBA LAFAYETTE LEE
LEFLORE MARSHALL MONROE
MONTGOMERY PANOLA PONTOTOC
PRENTISS QUITMAN SHARKEY
SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE TATE
TIPPAH TISHOMINGO UNION
WARREN WASHINGTON WEBSTER
YALOBUSHA YAZOO
$$
TNC047-069-071-109-151440-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
FAYETTE HARDEMAN HARDIN
MCNAIRY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Mod (60%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (60%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Mod (60%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Mod (60%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Mod (60%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (>95%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
