March 15, 2025

Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 207

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Mesoscale Discussion 207
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   Mesoscale Discussion 0207
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0207 PM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

   Areas affected...parts of far eastern Louisiana into eastern
   Mississippi and far western Alabama

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 45...46...

   Valid 151907Z - 152030Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 45, 46 continues.

   SUMMARY...The most concerning tornado threat for the next 1 to 2
   hours extends from south-central Mississippi vicinity to far
   west-central Alabama.

   DISCUSSION...Several supercells across southern Mississippi have
   already produced intense to violent tornadoes, including 2 paths
   within very close proximity from Walthall to Marion counties from
   consecutive supercells. These supercells and a few others which have
   recently developed across St. Helena and Tangipahoa Parishes are the
   storms of greatest tornadic concern over the next 1 to 2 hours.
   These supercells are in the centroid of the greatest STP (6+) and in
   the closest proximity to the upper 70s to low 80s temperatures where
   surface winds remain backed. Expect this environment to maintain
   through the afternoon as a meso-low (~994mb) currently across
   central Mississippi translates northeast at a similar speed to the
   mean storm motion.

   ..Bentley.. 03/15/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...BMX...MOB...JAN...LIX...

   LAT...LON   30439061 30639079 31009084 31449042 31968975 32338930
               32648904 32888886 32968851 32898815 32058829 31768850
               31298880 30758942 30358996 30319026 30439061 


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2025-03-15 19:09:03