Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 192

   Mesoscale Discussion 0192
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0203 AM CDT Sat Mar 15 2025

   Areas affected...Western middle Tennessee into west
   central/northwest Alabama

   Concerning...Severe potential...Watch possible 

   Valid 150703Z - 150830Z

   Probability of Watch Issuance...60 percent

   SUMMARY...Severe/tornado threat may spread into parts of middle
   Tennessee and west central/northwest Alabama through the early
   morning.  A new tornado watch may be needed.

   DISCUSSION...Warm sector supercells, including a long-lived tornadic
   storm in northeast MS, will continue to spread northeastward along
   the east edge of the richer low-level moisture.  Low-level
   trajectories from the south and south-southeast suggest that
   moisture increases into AL and middle TN will be gradual.  However,
   near-surface moistening will be sufficient to maintain the storm
   clusters, along with some continued tornado threat near and a little
   east of the longitude of the MS/AL border.  This area will continue
   to be monitored for the possibility of a new tornado watch by
   roughly 08z.

   ..Thompson/Smith.. 03/15/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LMK...OHX...BMX...HUN...PAH...MEG...

   LAT...LON   36598590 35088643 33928673 33058722 32338799 32388836
               33778817 35088804 36048788 36668730 36598590