Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 164

   Mesoscale Discussion 0164
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0826 PM CDT Wed Mar 12 2025

   Areas affected...eastern Texas into western Louisiana

   Concerning...Severe Thunderstorm Watch 29...

   Valid 130126Z - 130230Z

   The severe weather threat for Severe Thunderstorm Watch 29
   continues.

   SUMMARY...Severe-weather potential may linger locally for another 1
   to 2 hours with the ongoing convective band over eastern Texas.

   DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows a semi-continuous band of
   storms advancing eastward across eastern Texas -- and remains
   largely sub-severe.  The convection is moving through the axis of
   most substantial instability at this time, per latest RAP-based
   objective analysis, which suggests that lingering severe risk should
   begin to diminish over the next 1 to 2 hours.  This is further
   supported by evening RAOBs, which -- upon continued/gradual
   boundary-layer cooling -- suggests an environment becoming
   increasingly less supportive of any ramp-up on convective
   intensity/severe potential.

   ..Goss.. 03/13/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...EWX...

   LAT...LON   32399387 32429256 31529250 30359451 30019680 30459644
               31419501 32159446 32399387