Storm Prediction Center Severe Thunderstorm Watch 16
4 min read
2 weeks ago
Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 16
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
910 PM CST Mon Mar 3 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern Kansas
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 910 PM
until 300 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 60 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Storms are expected to increase and develop eastward
across southern Kansas through the late evening and overnight, with
bouts of large hail and locally damaging winds as the primary
hazards.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40
statute miles north and south of a line from 70 miles west northwest
of Medicine Lodge KS to 70 miles east of Wichita KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 50 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24030.
...Guyer
SEL6
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 16
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
910 PM CST Mon Mar 3 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of
Southern Kansas
* Effective this Monday night and Tuesday morning from 910 PM
until 300 AM CST.
* Primary threats include...
Scattered large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
Isolated damaging wind gusts to 60 mph possible
A tornado or two possible
SUMMARY...Storms are expected to increase and develop eastward
across southern Kansas through the late evening and overnight, with
bouts of large hail and locally damaging winds as the primary
hazards.
The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 40
statute miles north and south of a line from 70 miles west northwest
of Medicine Lodge KS to 70 miles east of Wichita KS. For a complete
depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update
(WOUS64 KWNS WOU6).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are
favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area.
Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening
weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible
warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce
tornadoes.
&&
AVIATION...A few severe thunderstorms with hail surface and aloft to
1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind gusts to 50 knots. A
few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 500. Mean storm motion vector
24030.
...Guyer
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW6
WW 16 SEVERE TSTM KS 040310Z - 040900Z
AXIS..40 STATUTE MILES NORTH AND SOUTH OF LINE..
70WNW P28/MEDICINE LODGE KS/ - 70E ICT/WICHITA KS/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 35NM N/S /48ESE GCK - 54WNW OSW/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..50 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.
LAT...LON 38259976 38229615 37069615 37099976
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU6.
Watch 16 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 16
VALID 040430Z - 040540Z
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES RIGHT OF A LINE FROM 20 NW AVK TO
40 SSE RSL.
..LEITMAN..03/04/25
ATTN...WFO...DDC...ICT...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WS 16
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
KSC007-015-019-035-049-077-079-095-151-155-173-185-191-040540-
KS
. KANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BARBER BUTLER CHAUTAUQUA
COWLEY ELK HARPER
HARVEY KINGMAN PRATT
RENO SEDGWICK STAFFORD
SUMNER
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Low (5%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (30%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Low (<5%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Mod (40%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Low (10%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (80%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
