Note:
The expiration time in the watch graphic is amended if the watch is
replaced, cancelled or extended. Note: Click for Watch Status Reports.
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 8
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
400 PM CST Sat Feb 15 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Eastern and Southeast Arkansas
Northern and Central Louisiana
Northwest Mississippi
Western Tennessee
East Texas
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 400 PM until
1000 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...An intensifying squall line will move generally in a west
to east direction through the late evening. The greatest severe
risk will be with bowing segments or embedded supercells or
mesovortices within the squall line, where damaging gusts are likely
and a threat for a tornadoes may exist.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles northeast of Dyersburg TN to
45 miles south of Natchitoches LA. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean
storm motion vector 21055.
...Smith
SEL8
URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Tornado Watch Number 8
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
400 PM CST Sat Feb 15 2025
The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a
* Tornado Watch for portions of
Eastern and Southeast Arkansas
Northern and Central Louisiana
Northwest Mississippi
Western Tennessee
East Texas
* Effective this Saturday afternoon and evening from 400 PM until
1000 PM CST.
* Primary threats include...
A few tornadoes likely with a couple intense tornadoes possible
Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph likely
Isolated large hail events to 1.5 inches in diameter possible
SUMMARY...An intensifying squall line will move generally in a west
to east direction through the late evening. The greatest severe
risk will be with bowing segments or embedded supercells or
mesovortices within the squall line, where damaging gusts are likely
and a threat for a tornadoes may exist.
The tornado watch area is approximately along and 75 statute miles
east and west of a line from 35 miles northeast of Dyersburg TN to
45 miles south of Natchitoches LA. For a complete depiction of the
watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU8).
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
REMEMBER...A Tornado Watch means conditions are favorable for
tornadoes and severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch
area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for
threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements
and possible warnings.
&&
AVIATION...Tornadoes and a few severe thunderstorms with hail
surface and aloft to 1.5 inches. Extreme turbulence and surface wind
gusts to 60 knots. A few cumulonimbi with maximum tops to 400. Mean
storm motion vector 21055.
...Smith
Note:
The Aviation Watch (SAW) product is an approximation to the watch area.
The actual watch is depicted by the shaded areas.
SAW8
WW 8 TORNADO AR LA MS TN TX 152200Z - 160400Z
AXIS..75 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST OF LINE..
35NE DYR/DYERSBURG TN/ - 45S IER/NATCHITOCHES LA/
..AVIATION COORDS.. 65NM E/W /27NE DYR - 32WSW AEX/
HAIL SURFACE AND ALOFT..1.5 INCHES. WIND GUSTS..60 KNOTS.
MAX TOPS TO 400. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 21055.
LAT...LON 36348761 31089183 31089437 36349030
THIS IS AN APPROXIMATION TO THE WATCH AREA. FOR A
COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE WOUS64 KWNS
FOR WOU8.
Watch 8 Status Report Messages:
STATUS REPORT #1 ON WW 8
VALID 152250Z - 152340Z
THE SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS THE ENTIRE WATCH AREA.
..LYONS..02/15/25
ATTN...WFO...LZK...JAN...SHV...MEG...LCH...
&&
STATUS REPORT FOR WT 8
SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR THE FOLLOWING AREAS
ARC001-003-011-013-017-025-027-035-037-041-043-069-077-079-095-
103-107-117-123-139-147-152340-
AR
. ARKANSAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
ARKANSAS ASHLEY BRADLEY
CALHOUN CHICOT CLEVELAND
COLUMBIA CRITTENDEN CROSS
DESHA DREW JEFFERSON
LEE LINCOLN MONROE
OUACHITA PHILLIPS PRAIRIE
ST. FRANCIS UNION WOODRUFF
$$
LAC009-013-015-017-021-025-027-029-031-035-041-043-049-059-061-
065-067-069-073-079-081-083-085-107-111-115-119-123-127-
152340-
LA
. LOUISIANA PARISHES INCLUDED ARE
AVOYELLES BIENVILLE BOSSIER
CADDO CALDWELL CATAHOULA
CLAIBORNE CONCORDIA DE SOTO
EAST CARROLL FRANKLIN GRANT
JACKSON LA SALLE LINCOLN
MADISON MOREHOUSE NATCHITOCHES
OUACHITA RAPIDES RED RIVER
RICHLAND SABINE TENSAS
UNION VERNON WEBSTER
WEST CARROLL WINN
$$
MSC009-011-027-033-043-053-055-071-083-093-107-119-125-133-135-
137-139-143-151-161-152340-
MS
. MISSISSIPPI COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON BOLIVAR COAHOMA
DESOTO GRENADA HUMPHREYS
ISSAQUENA LAFAYETTE LEFLORE
MARSHALL PANOLA QUITMAN
SHARKEY SUNFLOWER TALLAHATCHIE
TATE TIPPAH TUNICA
WASHINGTON YALOBUSHA
$$
TNC005-017-023-033-047-053-069-075-077-079-097-109-113-157-167-
183-152340-
TN
. TENNESSEE COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
BENTON CARROLL CHESTER
CROCKETT FAYETTE GIBSON
HARDEMAN HAYWOOD HENDERSON
HENRY LAUDERDALE MCNAIRY
MADISON SHELBY TIPTON
WEAKLEY
$$
TXC403-405-419-152340-
TX
. TEXAS COUNTIES INCLUDED ARE
SABINE SAN AUGUSTINE SHELBY
$$
THE WATCH STATUS MESSAGE IS FOR GUIDANCE PURPOSES ONLY. PLEASE
REFER TO WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION STATEMENTS FOR OFFICIAL
INFORMATION ON COUNTIES...INDEPENDENT CITIES AND MARINE ZONES
CLEARED FROM SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AND TORNADO WATCHES.
$$
Probability of 1 or more strong (EF2-EF5) tornadoes
Mod (30%)
Wind
Probability of 10 or more severe wind events
Mod (60%)
Probability of 1 or more wind events > 65 knots
Low (20%)
Hail
Probability of 10 or more severe hail events
Low (20%)
Probability of 1 or more hailstones > 2 inches
Low (20%)
Combined Severe Hail/Wind
Probability of 6 or more combined severe hail/wind events
High (80%)
For each watch, probabilities for particular events inside the watch
(listed above in each table) are determined by the issuing forecaster.
The “Low” category contains probability values ranging from less than 2%
to 20% (EF2-EF5 tornadoes), less than 5% to 20% (all other probabilities),
“Moderate” from 30% to 60%, and “High” from 70% to greater than 95%.
High values are bolded and lighter in color to provide awareness of
an increased threat for a particular event.
