Storm Prediction Center Mesoscale Discussion 69

   Mesoscale Discussion 0069
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0852 AM CST Thu Feb 06 2025

   Areas affected...Southeast KY into far western VA

   Concerning...Tornado Watch 3...

   Valid 061452Z - 061615Z

   The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 3 continues.

   SUMMARY...Some threat for locally damaging wind and/or a tornado may
   continue into late morning.

   DISCUSSION...A band of thunderstorms with a history of producing an
   apparent tornado and locally damaging gusts is moving across
   southeast KY toward western VA this morning. Diminishing instability
   with eastward extent and a tendency for a weakening/veering
   low-level jet (as the primary midlevel shortwave trough moves away)
   should result in a gradual weakening trend with time as storms move
   eastward. However, strong low/midlevel flow and favorable deep-layer
   shear will continue to support organized convection through late
   morning, with an attendant threat of locally damaging gusts and
   perhaps a tornado across the remaining portion of WW 3, and also
   potentially into adjacent parts of far western VA.

   ..Dean.. 02/06/2025

   ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

   ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...MRX...JKL...

   LAT...LON   36948487 37388268 37438216 37398111 37008136 36788241
               36658328 36628434 36658474 36948487